Monday, July 14, 2008

Campaign Corner - Black Gold, That Is :o)

Alert: This entry will be more biased toward the Republican Viewpoint, but I have not made up my mind regarding drilling off the coasts and in Alaska.  From all I have read over the years, the amount of oil in those locations would supply America for less than 10 years, and would take at least that long to bring most of the production on line.  At one time, I actually had an investment and purchased a partial lease, which was then subsequently purchased by an oil company, resulting in a bit of profit.  The bottom line is that leases are a form of speculation, purchased based on the terrain, similar sites, and a calculated risk that there will be oil [or other commodities or minerals] at that location.  The main purpose of this entry is to give you a perspective regarding the dialogue and bantering that is occurring in the news regarding To-Drill-Or-Not-To-Drill.

 

The data for this entry [parsed down to reflect my thoughts, and some of the more blatant comments deleted] came from the following site:  http://www.rightwingnews.com/mt331/2008/06/about_those_inactive_oil_lease.php

 

The Democrats have answered the "drill here, drill now" crowd by saying that 80+% of the leases presently owned by oil companies are non-producing.  As usual, their answer is clueless legislation - they would, by law, compel the oil and natural gas companies to produce from the federal lands they're presently leasing before talking about any additional leases. And since they're obviously not doing that at present, or so the reasoning goes, there's no need for more leases or opening more territory for leases.

This position assumes two things. One is that all of those leases will produce oil and gas and the oil companies just aren't doing anything to produce it. Naturally, that posits that oil and gas is everywhere and all you have to do is drill. The fact is, you're more likely, by a lot, not to find enough recoverable oil and gas on a lease than you are.

Red Cavaney of API covers the second part of why this is absolute nonsense in a WSJ article: 

 

A company bids for and buys a lease because it believes there is a possibility that it may yield enough oil or natural gas to make the cost of the lease, and the costs of exploration and production, commercially viable. The U.S. government received $3.7 billion from company bids in a single lease sale in March 2008.  

However, until the actual exploration is complete, a company does not know whether the lease will be productive. If, through exploration, it finds there is no oil or natural gas underneath a lease - or that there is not enough to justify the tremendous investment required to bring it to the surface - the company cuts its losses by moving on to more promising leases. Yet it continues to pay rent on the lease, atop a leasing bonus fee.

In addition, if the company does not develop the lease within a certain period of time, it must return it to the federal government, forfeiting all its costs. All during this active exploration and evaluation phase, however, the lease is listed as "nonproducing."

Obviously, companies want to start producing from active fields as soon as possible. However, there are a number of time-consuming steps to be taken before they can do so: Delineation wells must be drilled to size the field, government permits must be obtained, and complex production facilities must be engineered and installed. All this takes considerable time, and during that time, the lease is also listed as "nonproducing."

Because a lease is not producing, critics tag it as "idle" when, in reality, it is typically being actively explored and developed. Multiply these real-world circumstances by hundreds or thousands of leases, and you end up with the seemingly damning but inaccurate figures our critics cite.

7 comments:

Anonymous said...

My main concern is with the environmental impact. If they can prove that they can do it cleanly and without harming the environment, I could go along with it. We all saw what happened with the continued loss of coastal barriers, including the barrier islands, in Louisiana and Mississippi. Offshore drilling bothers me for that reason.

Beth

Anonymous said...

Tyipical liberal rhetoric,   they know what is best for the whole country and we are too stupid to think for ourselves.   I wonder if they average American realized that all the Congress and Senate are filty rich.  

They always have the knack of passing laws that usually come back to bite the citizens in their arses.   For example, 401k were developed to have a way for the extreme weathy to shelter their money.  Now most of the companies are using that for a workers pension.     Secondly, Alternative Minimum Tax to hit the wealthiest of citizens now has it claws in the upper middle class worker.   It was never indexed for inflation and a lot are getting screwed without getting kissed first.  Most couples can not make it on one salary and are hitting the limit with the combined income.

Claudia

Anonymous said...

Here in Milwaukee we had a parade over the weekend and I was surprised to see a 'drill for oil' group marching along the route and handing out literature. Apparently this is FINALLY getting peoples attention. I think its patently ridiculous to continue to fund Middle Eastern governments (who at best treat their women like second class beings, and at worst covertly work against us) when there is oil to be had here at home. [and let's not even bring up Chavez!]

This is a major flaw in Obama's script: no new oil drilling here at home, status quo on ethanol, status quo on gas taxes, and no new nucleur (sp) power. So . . .basically just keep on keepin' on. That's not a plan.

I do not believe the enviornmental impact of domestic drilling would be as harsh as predicted, and even if it was look at it this way: so far the 'cost' of relying on foreign oil has been two wars in twenty years, thousands dead, billions spent, and countless amounts of enviornmental damage caused by the war (heck, just the increase in transportation alone, not to mention Hussein's sabatoge at the end of the Gulf War)

Good entry

Dan

Anonymous said...

I am still confused but here is my theory on companies who make big profits every year and who can't build enough refineries to meet the demand or equipment to get things done faster and safer why should we take a chance and allow them damage our lands that sacrid maybe it is the indian in me but I feel that nature has given enough to this world and little is returned.
hugs
Sherry

Anonymous said...

I'm undecided as well on this issue.  But I got more information on the subject from this entry than I have gotten from anything else I've read or heard.  So thanks!  And btw, congrats on being one of Sherry's guest editor picks last week!
Lori

Anonymous said...

... no, there shouldn't be any drilling in ANWAR ... once it is gone, it won't ever come back, and it isn't worth it ... if the world is down to the last drop of oil there in the reserves, then it is already too late ...

... that they are eyeing it so greedily, means that everyone is still ignoring the dead canary ...

Anonymous said...

The real problem here is Congress.  Congress has made it virtually illegal to drill for our own oil here.  We have more oil right here than all the Middle East countries COMBINED!  There is an article in Newsweek magazine, July 14, 2008, that says Royal Dutch Shell has been funding a study since 1981 looking for oil sources.  The surprising find is a huge shale oil find in Wyoming, Utah, and Colorado's Western Slope.  The estimates are that there are between 800 MILLION TO ONE TRILLION BARRELS OF OIL here.  That's enough to supply America for the next 400 years. And that's just in this one area.  Doesn't include ANWAR, which would only require an area the size of Dulles Airport to tap into the oil there, and offshore drilling.

The liberal left always replies that this is like ten years away, and much of the American public buys this line.  What many people are missing is that anytime we publicize anything about increasing our own production, OPEC drops the price of oil.  We start going after it here, you won't see $140/barrell oil anymore.  It will drop drastically overnight.  This has happened repeatedly before, and will again if we will go after our own oil.  The difference should be that when OPEC drops the price, we should continue to develop our own oil sources, and eight, ten years down the road, however long, we can tell them to go take a hike.  Being able to tell them what they can do with their oil in a few years beats never, doesn't it?

Good post and very well done.  I love the Campaign Corner!

Dirk